Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks
TV Prime Video, KTTV·Honda Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Senators
to win
53%
Ducks
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors OTT.515vs.486win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors OTT.107vs.0095v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.066vs-.049GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors OTT.609vs.0075v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors ANAANA at home
- Back-to-backfavors OTTOTT played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSenators
Linus Ullmark+0.09 GSAx/6062% to start360 career GP
Samuel Ersson-0.33 GSAx/6038% to start143 career GP
Ducks
Lukas Dostal-0.03 GSAx/6049% to start189 career GP
Ville Husso-0.17 GSAx/6032% to start174 career GP
Laurent Brossoit+0.11 GSAx/6018% to start151 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: OTT Travis Green · ANA Joel Quenneville
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.358th
- Goals for / game
- 13th3.23
- 2.9913th
- Goals against / game
- 29th3.51
- 24.0%8th
- Power play
- 23rd18.6%
- 75.7%29th
- Penalty kill
- 27th76.4%
- 54.5%2nd
- Faceoffs
- 25th48.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).