Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers
TV NHLN, MSG·Madison Square Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
44%Oilers
to win
56%
Rangers
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.2
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors EDM.504vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors EDM.040vs-.0575v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYR.037vs.112GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors NYRNYR at home
- Back-to-backfavors EDMEDM played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersOilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
Rangers
Igor Shesterkin+0.33 GSAx/6058% to start369 career GP
Joonas Korpisalo-0.19 GSAx/6041% to start350 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: EDM Mike Babcock · NYR Mike Sullivan
Leaders
vs- Points
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.446th
- Goals for / game
- 23rd2.87
- 3.2325th
- Goals against / game
- 15th3.04
- 30.6%1st
- Power play
- 5th24.7%
- 77.8%20th
- Penalty kill
- 15th79.9%
- 52.6%6th
- Faceoffs
- 1st54.5%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).