Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers
TV SCRIPPS, TVAS·Amerant Bank Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
40%Jets
to win
60%
Panthers
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signaleven.491vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA-.048vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.117vs-.046GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors FLAFLA at home
- Back-to-backfavors WPGWPG played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Panthers
Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/6075% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/6025% to start92 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · FLA Paul Maurice
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7925th
- Goals for / game
- 18th3.00
- 3.1221st
- Goals against / game
- 28th3.34
- 18.5%24th
- Power play
- 19th19.5%
- 77.6%21st
- Penalty kill
- 9th81.0%
- 51.1%9th
- Faceoffs
- 29th46.8%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).