Mammoth at Penguins — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Mammoth at Penguins

Utah Mammoth(43-33-6)

Pittsburgh Penguins(41-25-16)

Thu, Oct 29, 7:00 PM EDTTV Utah16, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Mammoth

to win

55%

Penguins

Expected goals: 2.9–3.1
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT
.500vs.510win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
.093vs.0365v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA
.030vs-.237GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors PIT
.397vs1.115v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors PIT
PIT at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/60
99% to start268 career GP

Penguins

Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/60
91% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/60
9% to start5 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · PIT Dan Muse

Leaders

vs

C. Keller
88
Points
S. Crosby
74
D. Guenther
40
Goals
B. Rust
29
C. Keller
62
Assists
E. Karlsson
51

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 3rd3.54; 2.9310th
Goals against / game: 24th3.15; 20.0%18th
Power play: 7th24.1%; 78.1%19th
Penalty kill: 6th81.4%; 49.2%23rd
Faceoffs: 24th48.2%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 19@
Oct 29@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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