New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars
TV Prime Video, MSGSN·American Airlines Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Devils
to win
58%
Stars
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DAL.485vs.527win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DAL-.033vs.0385v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DAL-.029vs.109GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors DALDAL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Stars
Jake Oettinger+0.12 GSAx/6065% to start376 career GP
Casey DeSmith+0.09 GSAx/6035% to start225 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · DAL Glen Gulutzan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7627th
- Goals for / game
- 9th3.33
- 3.0918th
- Goals against / game
- 2nd2.71
- 22.0%13th
- Power play
- 2nd28.6%
- 79.3%17th
- Penalty kill
- 13th80.3%
- 50.5%14th
- Faceoffs
- 7th51.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).