Montréal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues
TV STLNHL, BN+·Enterprise Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
47%Canadiens
to win
53%
Blues
- Expected goals
- 2.9–3.1
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors MTL.515vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors STL-.072vs.0495v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors MTL.129vs-.058GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors MTL.431vs.1145v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors STLSTL at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanadiens
Samuel Montembeault+0.06 GSAx/6062% to start234 career GP
Jakub Dobes+0.25 GSAx/6038% to start81 career GP
Blues
Jordan Binnington-0.15 GSAx/6067% to start425 career GP
Joel Hofer+0.12 GSAx/6033% to start115 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: MTL Martin St. Louis · STL Jim Montgomery
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.407th
- Goals for / game
- 24th2.80
- 3.0616th
- Goals against / game
- 19th3.10
- 23.1%10th
- Power play
- 26th17.6%
- 78.2%18th
- Penalty kill
- 25th76.7%
- 51.0%11th
- Faceoffs
- 19th49.4%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).