San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins
TV NBCSCA, NESN·TD Garden
Our win probability
and the three reasons
42%Sharks
to win
58%
Bruins
- Expected goals
- 2.8–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors BOS.479vs.503win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors BOS-.114vs-.0585v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors BOS-.137vs.201GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors BOSBOS at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersSharks
Alex Nedeljkovic-0.08 GSAx/6043% to start228 career GP
Ilya Samsonov-0.12 GSAx/6036% to start222 career GP
Yaroslav Askarov-0.28 GSAx/6020% to start63 career GP
Bruins
Jeremy Swayman+0.20 GSAx/6099% to start271 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: SJS Ryan Warsofsky · BOS Marco Sturm
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Celebrini115
D. Pastrnak100 - Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.0417th
- Goals for / game
- 10th3.27
- 3.5430th
- Goals against / game
- 14th3.01
- 21.2%16th
- Power play
- 9th23.4%
- 76.4%26th
- Penalty kill
- 24th77.0%
- 47.8%26th
- Faceoffs
- 4th53.1%
Season series
first meeting- @
- @this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).