Mammoth at Kraken — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Mammoth at Kraken

Utah Mammoth(43-33-6)

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Thu, Oct 22, 10:00 PM EDTTV ESPN+, HULU·Climate Pledge Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

52%

Mammoth

to win

48%

Kraken

Expected goals: 3.1–2.9
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors UTA
.500vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors UTA
.093vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors UTA
.030vs-.072GSAx / 60
Home icefavors SEA
SEA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka+0.03 GSAx/60
99% to start268 career GP

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: UTA André Tourigny · SEA Lane Lambert

Leaders

vs

C. Keller
88
Points
J. Eberle
55
D. Guenther
40
Goals
B. McMann
29
C. Keller
62
Assists
V. Dunn
33

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

3.2710th
Goals for / game: 28th2.73; 2.9310th
Goals against / game: 23rd3.13; 20.0%18th
Power play: 20th19.5%; 78.1%19th
Penalty kill: 31st72.2%; 49.2%23rd
Faceoffs: 27th47.7%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 22@this game
Feb 19@
Mar 30@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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