Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers
TV CARNHL, HHN·Rogers Place
Our win probability
and the three reasons
51%Hurricanes
to win
49%
Oilers
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.504win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs.0405v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors EDM-.096vs.037GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs.4755v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors EDMEDM at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Oilers
Frederik Andersen+0.17 GSAx/6050% to start653 career GP
Tristan Jarry-0.09 GSAx/6042% to start335 career GP
Devon Levi-0.12 GSAx/608% to start39 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · EDM Mike Babcock
Leaders
vs- Points
S. Aho80
C. McDavid138 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 6th3.44
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 25th3.23
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 1st30.6%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 20th77.8%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 6th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).