Red Wings at Kraken — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Red Wings at Kraken

Detroit Red Wings(41-31-10)

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Tue, Oct 20, 9:40 PM EDTTV DSN, Prime Video·Climate Pledge Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

49%

Red Wings

to win

51%

Kraken

Expected goals: 3.0–3.0
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DET
.496vs.476win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors DET
-.060vs-.0885v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors DET
-.027vs-.072GSAx / 60
Home icefavors SEA
SEA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Red Wings

John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/60
70% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/60
30% to start98 career GP

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: DET Todd McLellan · SEA Lane Lambert

Leaders

vs

A. DeBrincat
85
Points
J. Eberle
55
A. DeBrincat
41
Goals
B. McMann
29
L. Raymond
51
Assists
V. Dunn
33

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.9122nd
Goals for / game: 28th2.73; 3.1019th
Goals against / game: 23rd3.13; 22.6%12th
Power play: 20th19.5%; 77.1%23rd
Penalty kill: 31st72.2%; 51.0%10th
Faceoffs: 27th47.7%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 9@
Oct 20@this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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