Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames
TV CARNHL, HHN·Scotiabank Saddledome
Our win probability
and the three reasons
50%Hurricanes
to win
50%
Flames
- Expected goals
- 3.0–3.0
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.481win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.1275v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors CGY-.096vs.016GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors CGYCGY at home
- Back-to-backfavors CARCAR played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Flames
Dustin Wolf-0.02 GSAx/6075% to start128 career GP
Devin Cooley+0.14 GSAx/6025% to start37 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · CGY Ryan Huska
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 32nd2.54
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 21st3.12
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 31st16.2%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 12th80.4%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 21st49.3%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).