Kraken at Panthers — Preview, Win Probability & Shot Map | Gridpex

Kraken at Panthers

Seattle Kraken(34-37-11)

Florida Panthers(40-38-4)

Sat, Oct 17, 6:00 PM EDTTV Prime Video, KONG·Amerant Bank Arena

Our win probability

and the three reasons

45%

Kraken

to win

55%

Panthers

Expected goals: 2.8–3.2
Goes to overtime: 22%

← favors

favors

→

Ability to win22% of the signalfavors FLA
.476vs.492win rate (OT = tie)
Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors FLA
-.088vs-.0145v5 xG diff / 60
Goaltending12% of the signalfavors FLA
-.072vs-.046GSAx / 60
Projected lineupsfavors SEA
.724vs.4945v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
Home icefavors FLA
FLA at home

Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of Sep 28

Goaltending

projected starters

Kraken

Philipp Grubauer-0.11 GSAx/60
54% to start449 career GP
Joey Daccord-0.03 GSAx/60
46% to start173 career GP

Panthers

Jacob Markstrom-0.04 GSAx/60
75% to start608 career GP
Akira Schmid-0.08 GSAx/60
25% to start92 career GP

GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.

Coaches: SEA Lane Lambert · FLA Paul Maurice

Leaders

vs

J. Eberle
55
Points
S. Reinhart
61
B. McMann
29
Goals
S. Reinhart
29
V. Dunn
33
Assists
B. Tkachuk
37

Season

2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32

2.7328th
Goals for / game: 18th3.00; 3.1323rd
Goals against / game: 28th3.34; 19.5%20th
Power play: 19th19.5%; 72.2%31st
Penalty kill: 9th81.0%; 47.7%27th
Faceoffs: 29th46.8%

Season series

first meeting

Oct 17@this game
Jan 12@

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

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