Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets
TV CARNHL, HHN·Canada Life Centre
Our win probability
and the three reasons
52%Hurricanes
to win
48%
Jets
- Expected goals
- 3.1–2.9
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.491win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.0485v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG-.096vs.117GSAx / 60
- Home icefavors WPGWPG at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Jets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · WPG Scott Arniel
Leaders
vs- Points
S. Aho80
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
- AssistsS. Aho53
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 21st3.12
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 24th18.5%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 21st77.6%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 9th51.1%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).