Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders
TV MSGSN, SNP·UBS Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
37%Canucks
to win
63%
Islanders
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors NYI.439vs.488win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors NYI-.225vs-.0695v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors NYI-.089vs.078GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors NYI-1.04vs-.0345v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors NYINYI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersCanucks
Kevin Lankinen-0.19 GSAx/6042% to start210 career GP
Thatcher Demko+0.12 GSAx/6041% to start267 career GP
Leevi Meriläinen-0.45 GSAx/6010% to start34 career GP
Nikita Tolopilo-0.16 GSAx/608% to start23 career GP
Islanders
Ilya Sorokin+0.22 GSAx/6045% to start322 career GP
Vitek Vanecek-0.21 GSAx/6028% to start220 career GP
Semyon Varlamov+0.13 GSAx/6027% to start635 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: VAN Manny Malhotra · NYI Peter DeBoer
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.5630th
- Goals for / game
- 25th2.79
- 3.8332nd
- Goals against / game
- 5th2.88
- 21.8%14th
- Power play
- 30th16.5%
- 71.5%32nd
- Penalty kill
- 10th80.8%
- 49.3%22nd
- Faceoffs
- 5th52.6%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).