New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings
TV ESPN, SN+·Little Caesars Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
41%Devils
to win
59%
Red Wings
- Expected goals
- 2.7–3.3
- Goes to overtime
- 22%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors DET.485vs.496win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signaleven-.033vs-.0605v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.029vs-.027GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupseven.249vs.2735v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors DETDET at home
- Back-to-backfavors NJDNJD played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersDevils
Jake Allen0.00 GSAx/6051% to start526 career GP
David Rittich-0.08 GSAx/6038% to start264 career GP
Nico Daws-0.03 GSAx/6011% to start55 career GP
Red Wings
John Gibson+0.04 GSAx/6070% to start589 career GP
Daniil Tarasov-0.18 GSAx/6030% to start98 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: NJD Sheldon Keefe · DET Todd McLellan
Leaders
vs- Points
- Goals
- Assists
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).