Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks
TV CARNHL, HHN·United Center
Our win probability
and the three reasons
63%Hurricanes
to win
37%
Blackhawks
- Expected goals
- 3.4–2.6
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors CAR.542vs.463win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors CAR.162vs-.2235v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signaleven-.096vs-.081GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors CAR.860vs-.6125v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors CHICHI at home
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersHurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov-0.04 GSAx/6053% to start135 career GP
Brandon Bussi+0.05 GSAx/6028% to start43 career GP
Cayden Primeau-0.45 GSAx/6020% to start58 career GP
Blackhawks
Spencer Knight+0.06 GSAx/6057% to start152 career GP
Arvid Soderblom-0.26 GSAx/6043% to start112 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: CAR Rod Brind'Amour · CHI Jeff Blashill
Leaders
vs
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 3.552nd
- Goals for / game
- 30th2.56
- 2.885th
- Goals against / game
- 27th3.29
- 24.9%4th
- Power play
- 29th16.9%
- 80.5%11th
- Penalty kill
- 2nd83.6%
- 50.1%16th
- Faceoffs
- 31st46.0%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).