Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins
TV SN-PIT, SN+·PPG Paints Arena
Our win probability
and the three reasons
37%Jets
to win
63%
Penguins
- Expected goals
- 2.6–3.4
- Goes to overtime
- 21%
← favors favors →
favors →- Ability to win22% of the signalfavors PIT.491vs.510win rate (OT = tie)
- Scoring chances66% of the signalfavors PIT-.048vs.0365v5 xG diff / 60
- Goaltending12% of the signalfavors WPG.117vs-.237GSAx / 60
- Projected lineupsfavors PIT.027vs1.115v5 xG impact / 60 of the dressed skaters
- Home icefavors PITPIT at home
- Back-to-backfavors WPGWPG played yesterday
Gridpex NHL model v2026.09.28 · ratings as of
Goaltending
projected startersJets
Connor Hellebuyck+0.18 GSAx/6057% to start683 career GP
Stuart Skinner+0.04 GSAx/6043% to start277 career GP
Penguins
Arturs Silovs-0.25 GSAx/6091% to start71 career GP
Sergei Murashov-0.12 GSAx/609% to start5 career GP
GSAx/60: goals saved above expected per 60 minutes, from our shot model — above zero is better than an average goalie facing the same shots.
Coaches: WPG Scott Arniel · PIT Dan Muse
Leaders
vs- Points
M. Scheifele103 - Goals
B. Rust29 - Assists
Season
2025-26 regular season · league rank of 32- 2.7925th
- Goals for / game
- 3rd3.54
- 3.1221st
- Goals against / game
- 24th3.15
- 18.5%24th
- Power play
- 7th24.1%
- 77.6%21st
- Penalty kill
- 6th81.4%
- 51.1%9th
- Faceoffs
- 24th48.2%
Season series
first meeting- @this game
- @
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).