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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV TSN5, RDS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Senators scored first; the Canadiens answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juraj Slafkovský's goal at 6:13 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.1 to 3.1; shots on goal were OTT 32, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected; Jacob Fowler stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 2 A), 2. Noah Dobson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Samuel Montembeault (14 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Dobson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault14 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT2901409232
MTLMTL1811028426

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    P. Tomasino(1)PPG
    C. Kyrou (2), K. Halttunen (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:54
  2. MTL
    C. Kreider(1)
    N. Suzuki (2), M. Matheson (2)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:31
  3. OTT
    T. Boucher(1)PPG
    X. Bourgault (1), R. Suzuki (1)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:19

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Dobson(1)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (1), C. Caufield (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:47

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(2)
    N. Dobson (1), P. Danault (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:13
  2. MTL
    P. Danault(3)
    J. Slafkovský (2), M. Matheson (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:56

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·MTL 19 PIM

1st

  • 6:12MTLTyler Thorpe · Fightingdrawn by Djibril Toure5 min
  • 6:12OTTDjibril Toure · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Thorpe5 min
  • 11:48MTLFlorian Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Adam Nemec2 min
  • 18:12MTLChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by Kasper Halttunen2 min
  • 19:38OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Interferencedrawn by Owen Beck2 min

2nd

  • 5:04OTTDjibril Toure · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 5:04MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Djibril Toure2 min
  • 10:43MTLMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 10:43OTTRidly Greig · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 12:13MTLJake Evans · Hookingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

3rd

  • 1:36MTLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Jaxon Cover2 min
  • 19:53MTLTyler Thorpe · Holdingdrawn by Jaxon Cover2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský, 3rd 6:13 — MTL 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.56L. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.49J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.45C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.30P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.20J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.18O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.17P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.16J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.13A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.13A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.13P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.13F. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.12F. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.08A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.05L. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02O. Beck · Missed · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Szuber · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.01L. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01E. Samson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 4.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
3.12 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.60 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
1.52 G
Power play
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT48%52%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/5
Power play
1/1
11
Penalty minutes
19
12
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
5
17
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71R. GreigC000050.510124023:25
62P. TomasinoR101040.50110—22:58
53X. BourgaultR011-110.37010—20:50
68K. HalttunenR011-340.421006720:11
45B. HuttonD000-130.06020—19:40
16R. SuzukiC011-310.070004219:05
15C. KyrouD011030.14100—18:43
79S. BlaisL000000.20320—17:49
92P. DaoustC000000.001004217:33
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00002—16:33
48J. CoverR000020.19000—16:18
5C. CrottyD000-110.05020—15:47
54T. BoucherR101-250.54200—15:41
64S. HarringtonD000-120.01020—15:33
58S. BolducD000-110.00200—15:05
76D. ToureD000-200.00107—10:47
63O. PetterssonR000000.000104410:36
51A. NemecL000000.00000—01:39
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Ersson(L)26224.8463.14-0.8656:38

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).