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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalCanadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sasha Pastujov's goal at 7:05 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 20% to 48%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were MTL 23, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.3 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G, 2 A), 2. Carter Yakemchuk (1 G), 3. Alex Belzile (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Yakemchuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Belzile1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL170828323
OTTOTT1112718426

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Berard(1)
    H. McKown (1), S. Pastujov (1)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:49
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(1)PPG
    T. Chabot (1), A. Burakovsky (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    9:16

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(1)PPG
    J. Sanderson (1), C. Giroux (2)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    10:31
  2. OTT
    C. Yakemchuk(1)PPG
    A. Burakovsky (3), C. Giroux (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:12

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Belzile(1)
    J. Struble (1)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    5:19
  2. MTL
    S. Pastujov(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    7:05
  3. OTT
    W. Eklund(2)PPG
    D. Cozens (2), T. Stützle (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    10:57

Penalties

MTL 28 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:01MTLAlex Belzile · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:39MTLSamuel Poulin · Slashingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 14:19OTTHoyt Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 8:43MTLDavid Reinbacher · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 10:08MTLAdam Engstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:47OTTThomas Chabot · Interferencedrawn by Filip Mesar2 min

3rd

  • 3:04MTLDavid Reinbacher · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 3:26OTTDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 4:18MTLArber Xhekaj · Trippingdrawn by Stephen Halliday2 min
  • 7:32OTTDylan Cozens · High stickingdrawn by Hunter McKown2 min
  • 10:10MTLSamuel Poulin · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 10:10MTLSamuel Poulin · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 10:10MTLSamuel Poulin · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:39MTLDillan Bentley · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 13:39OTTHayden Hodgson · Roughingdrawn by Dillan Bentley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Sasha Pastujov, 3rd 7:05 — MTL 20% → 48%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.19W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.16W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.15T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.11C. Yakemchuk · Goal · xG 0.11N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07C. Yakemchuk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.02H. Hodgson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Yakemchuk · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bakke Olsen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
1.83 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.53 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
4 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL33%67%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
26
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
4/8
28
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
6
14
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42A. EngstromD000+130.18202—23:54
77K. DachC000010.0400010021:21
47J. StrubleD011+300.00120—20:50
91O. KapanenC000+100.000204220:18
76Z. BolducR000020.07200—19:57
64D. ReinbacherD000+100.00114—19:09
72A. XhekajD000+130.06102—18:56
36L. DauphinC000+110.050104017:00
41H. McKownC011+110.092005516:14
60A. BelzileR101+120.450125715:36
68O. ProtzD000000.00220—15:21
40S. PastujovR112+220.16010—14:46
37B. BerardL101+230.18010—14:19
44R. WalshD000000.00000—14:10
49J. DavidsonC000020.14100—11:32
46F. MesarR000010.130103308:01
58D. BentleyR000020.27102—07:51
88S. PoulinR000000.00301610007:12
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)26224.8462.68-1.3258:17

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).