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Hurricanes at Predators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators

FinalTV SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Nashville Predators 6-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 7:04 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 26, NSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Bussi (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Bussi22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR3915212626
NSHNSH0501007022

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:02
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:04
  3. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    13:29

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    16:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.05Video
    5-0
    9:21
  2. CAR
    S. Aho (2), J. Blake (3)
    wristxG 0.18Video
    6-0
    19:05

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:17NSHSteven Stamkos · Interferencedrawn by Felix Unger Sorum2 min
  • 15:45CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min

2nd

  • 2:25CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 6:03NSHJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 13:36CARJalen Chatfield · Holdingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 3:30CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 7:21NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by Felix Unger Sorum2 min
  • 14:26CARCharles Alexis Legault · Hookingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 17:44NSHVitali Pinchuk · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCAR goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 1st 7:04 — CAR 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.15A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.13M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09V. Pinchuk · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03V. Pinchuk · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ahcan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ahcan · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 1.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNSH
2.76 G
All situations
0 G1.6
1.73 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.83 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR70%30%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 1.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
3/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
6
24
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD000+100.03210—21:37
4S. GostisbehereD011000.04010—20:08
20S. AhoC022020.220122920:01
26S. WalkerD000+120.01222—19:09
74J. SlavinD000+110.01010—18:22
62C. LegaultD000+100.02042—17:45
5J. ChatfieldD000+210.02022—16:50
22L. StankovenC101+130.191002916:29
77M. JankowskiL101030.310103316:23
37A. SvechnikovR101010.2320010016:19
36F. Unger SorumR011010.20000—15:05
53J. BlakeR123+130.37000—15:02
48J. MartinookL101+230.37212—13:28
11J. StaalC011+200.000006713:22
27N. EhlersL112+210.17010—13:13
71T. HallL011+120.36100—12:31
50E. RobinsonL000020.08300—12:23
28W. CarrierL000010.0320010011:53
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)222201.0001.62+1.6260:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).