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Mammoth at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸5
Final/OTTV NHLN, Utah16·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in overtime, Jack Eichel scoring at 0:39. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Mammoth led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 19:32 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were UTA 21, VGK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Sebastian Cossa stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Eichel (1 G, 2 A), 2. Shea Theodore (3 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    S. Theodore3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
UTAUTA213141400421
VGKVGK1801131511535

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    V. Olofsson(1)
    S. Theodore (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:38
  2. UTA
    Z. Jones(1)PPG
    K. Stenlund (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:21
  3. UTA
    L. O'Brien(2)
    Y. Borikov (1), K. Stenlund (2)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:01

2nd period

  1. UTA
    A. Duda(1)
    J. McBain (1), K. Yamamoto (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:06

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Lauzon(1)
    N. Hanifin (1), N. Dowd (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:19
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(1)PPG
    J. Eichel (1), S. Theodore (2)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:06
  3. UTA
    T. Lavoie(1)
    K. Stenlund (3), Z. Jones (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +47 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:29
  4. VGK
    T. Hertl(1)
    M. Marner (1), J. Eichel (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:32

Overtime

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(1)
    M. Stone (1), S. Theodore (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    0:39

Penalties

UTA 10 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:45UTADmitri Simashev · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 10:50VGKMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev2 min
  • 18:19VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

2nd

  • 14:23UTADmitri Simashev · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 14:23VGKParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Dmitri Simashev2 min
  • 14:23UTABen McCartney · Roughingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

3rd

  • 2:26UTAGabe Smith · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Connelly2 min
  • 12:47UTAGabe Smith · Trippingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalUTA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 3rd 19:32 — VGK 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.31V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.19T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.16J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.14B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.14B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.13T. Connelly · On goal · xG 0.13T. Connelly · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.09M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lauzon · Goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rondbjerg · Missed · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Connelly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK5 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVGK
1.84 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA26%74%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVGK
21
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
5
29
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
84A. DudaD101020.07150—22:59
26D. SimashevD000020.08164—21:44
57N. DeSimoneD000-100.06130—21:32
88N. SchmidtD000-210.00130—21:31
22J. McBainC011-110.051004018:36
27B. HaytonC000-100.020005517:32
56K. YamamotoR011-100.00000—16:41
82K. StenlundC033+200.080105416:16
75T. LavoieD101+110.06010—15:57
15Z. JonesD112+130.12000—15:34
38L. O'BrienC101+130.1670010015:29
13B. TanevL000000.00310—14:20
65Y. BorikovR011+230.33000—14:19
86J. RoyR000-220.19110—13:48
93G. SmithC000010.302046313:27
18C. DesnoyersC000-110.170001312:26
77T. IginlaC000-210.13100011:57
62B. McCartneyL000+100.00002—11:30
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Cossa(O)35305.8573.10-1.9060:39

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).