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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV DSN, SN-PIT+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-4. The Penguins scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Axel Sandin-Pellikka's goal at 4:57 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 60% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were DET 23, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. John Gibson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Arturs Silovs stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 4.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Johansson (4 A), 2. Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (2 G), 3. Nick Robertson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Johansson4 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Brandsegg-Nygård2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    N. Robertson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET182649723
PITPIT11211228432

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:19
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:23

2nd period

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:26
  2. DET
    slapxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:57
  3. PIT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:22

3rd period

  1. DET
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:37
  2. PIT
    M. Ilyin (1), L. Ruck (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    6:55
  3. DET
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-3
    9:24
  4. DET
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-3
    12:39
  5. DET
    7-3
    13:46
  6. PIT
    M. Ruck (1), L. Ruck (2)
    wristxG 0.13Video
    7-4
    17:47

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·PIT 20 PIM

1st

  • 5:34PITEgor Chinakhov · Trippingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 15:22DETAxel Sandin-Pellikka · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 3:51PITSidney Crosby · Slashingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 3:51DETMarco Kasper · Slashingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 8:17DETNate Danielson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 16:23DETSutter Muzzatti · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

3rd

  • 0:15DETAlbert Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 0:15DETMarco Kasper · Roughingdrawn by Kaedan Korczak2 min
  • 0:15PITKaedan Korczak · Roughingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 2:56PITDeclan Carlile · Roughingdrawn by Wilmer Skoog2 min
  • 2:56PITDeclan Carlile · Roughingdrawn by Wilmer Skoog2 min
  • 2:56PITDeclan Carlile · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Axel Sandin-Pellikka, 2nd 4:57 — DET 60% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ilyin · On goal · xG 0.25N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.20A. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.19M. Ruck · On goal · xG 0.17E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.15R. McGroarty · Goal · xG 0.13N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.11R. McGroarty · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.10T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.09T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09B. Zonnon · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Ilyin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.06A. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ruck · On goal · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ilyin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ruck · On goal · xG 0.03I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.03R. McGroarty · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ruck · On goal · xG 0.03F. Harding · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ilyin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ruck · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Goal · xG 0.01D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01F. Harding · On goal · xG 0.01T. Galvas · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.27 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.66 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET32%68%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
20
30
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011+120.05110—23:37
58E. FinnieC011+100.006105022:35
42A. JohanssonD044+100.09130—22:27
20A. JohanssonD000000.00002—20:55
8B. ChiarotD022+220.13120—20:44
92M. KasperC000-110.062043720:33
33V. ArvidssonL011030.19010—17:15
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD101030.21012—16:20
22M. AppletonC101+220.36200—15:31
54W. WallinderD000+100.00140—15:14
29N. DanielsonC011+100.040022014:19
57O. BecherC101+110.150005413:40
73W. SkoogC112+130.31320—13:15
28M. Brandsegg-NygårdR202030.4080010012:43
48T. RochetteC022-100.001005812:04
38S. MuzzattiC011+110.09302—11:46
74N. Dower NilssonL000-210.03000—08:59
79J. KiiskinenR101010.04100—08:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson24222.9172.30+0.3040:00
31T. Augustine(W)862.7500.82-1.1820:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).