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Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

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Columbus Blue Jackets
1
Buffalo Sabres
▸5
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Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 10:12 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were CBJ 25, BUF 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Ostlund (2 G), 2. Josh Norris (1 G), 3. Conor Timmins (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    N. Ostlund2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Norris1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    C. Timmins1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0607112125
BUFBUF01131529535

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Norris(1)
    O. Power (1), K. Helenius (1)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:12
  2. BUF
    N. Ostlund(1)
    Z. Benson (1), O. Power (2)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:54
  3. BUF
    N. Ostlund(2)
    Z. Benson (2)
    slapxG 0.23win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:22

3rd period

  1. BUF
    C. Timmins(1)
    T. Thompson (1), J. Quinn (1)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    3:53
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(1)
    J. Doan (1), O. Power (3)
    snapxG 0.04Video
    0-5
    14:32
  3. CBJ
    C. Ceulemans(1)
    D. Voronkov (1), B. Buckberger (1)
    snapxG 0.03Video
    1-5
    16:19

Penalties

CBJ 19 PIM·BUF 23 PIM

1st

  • 3:14BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Luke Tuch2 min
  • 3:14CBJLuke Tuch · Holding the stickdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 3:32CBJCarson Soucy · Interferencedrawn by Jack Quinn2 min
  • 5:00BUFTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Jack Williams2 min
  • 5:30CBJJack Williams · Delaying game equipment2 min
  • 14:26CBJLuke Tuch · Interferencedrawn by Josh Norris2 min

2nd

  • 3:18BUFBeck Malenstyn · Interferencedrawn by Owen Sillinger2 min
  • 4:40BUFJosh Norris · Holdingdrawn by Jake Christiansen2 min
  • 17:35BUFBeck Malenstyn · Roughingdrawn by Luke Tuch2 min
  • 17:35CBJLuke Tuch · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

3rd

  • 1:04CBJCarson Soucy · Fightingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn5 min
  • 1:04BUFBeck Malenstyn · Fightingdrawn by Carson Soucy5 min
  • 1:25BUFLouis Crevier · Roughingdrawn by Josh Eernisse2 min
  • 1:25BUFSam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by James Malatesta2 min
  • 1:25BUFSam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by James Malatesta2 min
  • 1:25CBJJosh Eernisse · Roughingdrawn by Louis Crevier2 min
  • 1:25CBJJames Malatesta · Roughingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 7:06BUFSam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Boston Buckberger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 2nd 10:12 — BUF 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.54N. Ostlund · Goal · xG 0.26N. Ostlund · Goal · xG 0.23T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.23B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.19J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.18P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.17J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.16C. Timmins · Goal · xG 0.15O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.13J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.04K. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF5 G · 4.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
1.71 G
All situations
5 G4.5
1.01 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ12%88%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 4.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
25
Shots on goal
35
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/4
Power play
0/3
19
Penalty minutes
23
28
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. ChristiansenD000-210.03230—23:57
56B. BuckbergerD011-220.14110—21:41
71L. TuchL000-210.016064418:34
74C. CeulemansD101+140.14120—18:32
57C. ElickD000-210.04120—18:13
92J. WilliamsR000-220.442022517:52
54L. MarrelliD000-320.05050—17:46
53L. PinelliC000-330.16000—17:40
12O. SillingerC000+100.170104216:39
7C. SoucyD000010.02217—16:30
20O. KeskinenC000-210.080004716:19
10D. VoronkovL011-120.23110—15:25
22J. DumaisR000-110.05020—15:02
94R. LombergL000010.02500—14:10
76J. EernisseC000020.07402013:24
11M. WoodL000000.00000—13:10
67J. MalatestaL000-210.02312—11:35
82M. PyyhtiaL000000.00010—04:15
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)26233.8853.94+0.9439:16
35E. Gardner972.7780.51-1.4920:00

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).