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New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 17:48 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 18, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Dylan Garand stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Nico Daws stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G), 3. Dylan Garand (28 saves, .903).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    D. Garand28 saves, .903

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR031916218
NJDNJD01021318331

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:55
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:05
  3. NJD
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:10

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    7:07
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.14win prob +43 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:48

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:34NYRDrew Fortescue · Interferencedrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

3rd

  • 9:51NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Robertson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 3rd 17:48 — NJD 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.23S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.14J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.10D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.10A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Diotte · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Diotte · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNJD
1.82 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR33%67%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNJD
18
Shots on goal
31
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
10
21
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
60S. MorrowD000020.44010—22:44
18U. VaakanainenD000-120.02020—21:16
29M. RobertsonD000-110.01220—20:57
45D. FortescueD101020.10322—20:41
21D. CholowskiD011+100.01000—19:36
15G. GawdinC000-120.114006019:23
85L. GreentreeR011+120.18120—19:06
37J. DowlingC000-120.151104418:34
46B. LambR011-200.01000—18:22
54D. RoobroeckC000010.012008518:04
25A. BlidhL101-110.02210—17:45
71J. ParssinenC011010.27600016:30
73M. RempeC000000.09310—15:19
95N. AspinallL000010.35110—14:34
57J. BattagliaR000010.03010—12:22
6V. IorioD000-100.00100—11:52
62C. TerranceC000+100.001007509:29
38A. SykoraL000000.03010—02:49
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Garand(L)31283.9032.72-0.2858:37

Season series

first meeting

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).