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Kraken at Golden Knights
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Kraken scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 1:23 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were SEA 23, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Nikke Kokko stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.9 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (2 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Hart (22 saves, .957), 3. Mitch Marner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Hart22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Marner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0111804123
VGKVGK0618312426

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:24
  2. VGK
    R. Smith (10), N. Dowd (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:35

3rd period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:23
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:01
  3. VGK
    K. Korczak (13), T. Hertl (34)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:36

Penalties

SEA 4 PIM·VGK 0 PIM

1st

  • 13:23SEABen Meyers · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 14:53SEAJamie Oleksiak · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSEA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 3rd 1:23 — VGK 52% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.32T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.19B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.16R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.13R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.05B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsVGK
1.61 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA23%77%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-110.04200—22:12
62B. MontourD000-130.16510—21:19
28J. MahuraD000010.02220—20:43
29V. DunnD000-140.11010—19:41
24J. OleksiakD011-120.06212—18:32
41R. EvansD000-200.01100—18:31
9C. StephensonC000-100.000102518:17
20E. TolvanenR000020.16310—16:57
10M. BeniersC000-100.000104615:27
27B. CattonC000010.04020015:15
7J. EberleR000-100.00010—15:01
74B. McMannC000-130.11110014:41
89F. GaudreauC000-100.022006214:37
84K. KakkoR000-100.00000—14:02
51S. WrightC101010.441105613:24
26R. WintertonC000-140.40210012:57
38J. NymanR011-110.01110—12:35
59B. MeyersC000-100.02002011:49
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39N. Kokko(L)26224.8463.06-0.9460:00

Season series

SEA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).