Capitals at Blue Jackets 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Washington Capitals

▸2

Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV ESPN, MNMT·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 15:53 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were WSH 21, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Clay Stevenson stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Jet Greaves stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Clay Stevenson (27 saves, .964), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 A).

Three stars

★
C. Stevenson27 saves, .964
★★
B. Jenner1 G
★★★
A. Ovechkin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	04	16	111	221
CBJ	011	19	08	128

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

B. Jenner(13)
M. Marchment (26), D. Heinen (6)
snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
0-1
0:27
A. Beauvillier(15)
T. van Riemsdyk (11)
wristxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
1-1
10:46

3rd period

J. Chychrun(26)PPG
T. Wilson (32), A. Ovechkin (32)
snapxG 0.07win prob +37 ptsVideo
2-1
15:53

Penalties

2 PIM·

6 PIM

2nd

6:50served by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
19:26Kent Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

3rd

2:43Mason Marchment · Hookingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
14:06Miles Wood · High stickingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 3rd 15:53 — WSH 53% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.7 xG · 37 att CBJ

1 G · 2.6 xG · 37 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.72 G
All situations: 1 G2.6; 1.81 G
Even strength: 1 G2.1; 1.31 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

60%40%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

21
Shots on goal: 28; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 1/3
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 6; 14
Hits: 3; 11
Blocked shots: 16; 13
Giveaways: 23; 2
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Washington Capitals skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
6J. ChychrunD	1	0	1	0	1	0.13	0	0	—	23:05
57T. van RiemsdykD	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	—	20:03
3M. RoyD	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	—	19:58
44C. HutsonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	1	—	19:54
8A. OvechkinL	0	1	1	-1	4	0.91	1	0	—	18:48
42M. FehérváryD	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	2	—	18:17
72A. BeauvillierR	1	0	1	0	3	0.45	0	0	—	16:50
17D. StromeC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	67	16:42
43T. WilsonR	0	1	1	0	2	0.47	0	0	—	16:39
21A. ProtasL	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	100	16:30
24C. McMichaelL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	50	16:26
62I. ProtasL	0	0	0	0	1	0.27	0	1	33	16:06
9R. LeonardR	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	2	1	—	16:05
34J. SourdifC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.14	0	0	67	16:05
29H. LapierreC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	38	13:18
52D. McIlrathD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	2	—	13:04
63I. MiroshnichenkoL	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	1	0	—	10:36
22B. DuhaimeL	0	0	0	0	1	0.26	3	0	—	10:01

Washington Capitals goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
33C. Stevenson(W)	28	27	1	.964	2.56	+1.56	59:37

Season series

WSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score