Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matvei Michkov's goal at 13:52 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 29, PHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matvei Michkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Oliver Bonk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Hunter McDonald (1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Michkov1 G, 2 A

- ★★O. Bonk1 G, 1 A

- ★★★H. McDonald1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-18:08
0-214:42
2nd period
1-26:50
1-313:52
2-319:49
3rd period
2-412:00
Penalties
1st
- 0:21
Nick Seeler · High stickingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
2nd
- 16:43
Tyson Foerster · Holdingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
3rd
- 4:48
Hunter McDonald · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 10:19
Hunter McDonald · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
- 10:19
Kirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Hunter McDonald2 min
- 16:12
Alexandre Texier · Roughingdrawn by David Jiricek2 min
- 16:12
David Jiricek · Roughingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Matvei Michkov, 2nd 13:52 — 72% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.2
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.7
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/0
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 26
- Hits
- 21
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 21
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 3-0
5@
4SOFinal
4@
1Final
2@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















