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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸2
FinalTV The Spot, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juraj Slafkovský's goal at 18:56 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were TBL 18, MTL 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL030718118
MTLMTL081815221

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(50)
    N. Suzuki (69), J. Slafkovský (41)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:30

3rd period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(22)
    N. Kucherov (85), G. Goncalves (21)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +44 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:09
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(30)
    N. Suzuki (70)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +46 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:56

Penalties

TBL 71 PIM·MTL 55 PIM

1st

  • 3:48TBLYanni Gourde · High sticking double minordrawn by Jayden Struble4 min
  • 13:11MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 16:03MTLIvan Demidov · High stickingdrawn by Declan Carlile2 min
  • 17:40MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:40TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 3:33MTLJoseph Veleno · Roughingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 3:33MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min
  • 3:33TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Roughingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 3:33TBLNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 3:33TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 3:33MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 3:33MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 7:04TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 12:20TBLOliver Bjorkstrand · Slashingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 12:20MTLJayden Struble · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:20TBLNick Paul · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:00TBLDeclan Carlile · Instigatordrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 15:00MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Declan Carlile5 min
  • 15:00TBLDeclan Carlile · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 15:00TBLDeclan Carlile · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 17:34TBLBrayden Point · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min
  • 17:34TBLDarren Raddysh · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 17:34MTLAlexandre Texier · Roughingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min
  • 17:34TBLDarren Raddysh · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 17:34MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min
  • 17:34MTLJake Evans · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:34TBLDarren Raddysh · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:34MTLAlexandre Texier · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:34TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 11:02TBLJ.J. Moser · Roughingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 14:22MTLIvan Demidov · Kneeingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský, 3rd 18:56 — MTL 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.38J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.36J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.33C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.20J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.18A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.17J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.17J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.13O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.13A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.10P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.10L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Engstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 4.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
1.91 G
All situations
2 G4.1
0.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.10 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL26%74%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
18
Shots on goal
21
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
0/7
71
Penalty minutes
55
29
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
9
19
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59J. GuentzelC000-140.670004326:38
86N. KucherovR011010.31102—23:12
27R. McDonaghD000010.01120—22:47
81E. CernakD000-110.02420—22:05
21B. PointC000010.170022521:22
90J. MoserD000-100.02202—20:41
71A. CirelliC000010.003225320:28
78E. LillebergD000-100.00410—18:43
93G. GoncalvesC011020.03110018:19
37Y. GourdeC000-110.106044414:05
43D. RaddyshD101+150.250114—13:59
10C. PerryR000+100.21002—13:17
28Z. GirgensonsC000000.00110012:25
22O. BjorkstrandR000000.00302—10:46
51C. D'AstousD000000.070012—09:12
20N. PaulL000-100.0031126007:38
11J. PelletierL000010.06010—07:06
67D. CarlileD000000.000117—05:02
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)21192.9053.32+1.3258:15

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).