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Maple Leafs at Sharks
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, TSN4·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Collin Graf's goal at 17:43 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were TOR 20, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (19 saves, .950), 2. William Eklund (1 G, 1 A), 3. Collin Graf (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    A. Nedeljkovic19 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Eklund1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    C. Graf1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR061509120
SJSSJS2101817425

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:27
  2. SJS
    M. Misa (10), T. Toffoli (29)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:43

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:42
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(29)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:43

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.94Video
    1-4
    19:03

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

2nd

  • 5:35SJSMichael Misa · Interferencedrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 7:23TORDakota Joshua · Trippingdrawn by Sam Dickinson2 min

3rd

  • 2:03TORDakota Joshua · Trippingdrawn by Collin Graf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTOR goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Collin Graf, 1st 17:43 — SJS 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.93W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.18A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.15A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.15A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.11M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.09W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.09C. Graf · Goal · xG 0.09W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.03I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Ostapchuk · Goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mukhamadullin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSJS
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR53%47%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSJS
20
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000-200.02140—25:36
44M. RiellyD000000.02020—22:56
51P. MyersD000040.08120—22:52
53E. CowanR011-100.00000—19:22
91J. TavaresC101-110.590006219:13
2S. BenoitD000-220.21140—18:49
88W. NylanderR011-130.12100—18:45
25B. CarloD000-210.00110—17:57
23M. KniesL000-110.22200—17:36
11M. DomiC000-110.240005615:42
29B. GroulxC000-200.003103315:11
81D. JoshuaC000-220.18404014:29
18S. LorentzC000020.2422010014:03
63M. MaccelliL000-200.09100—13:52
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.00200013:02
89N. RobertsonL000-220.17100—11:43
26J. QuillanC000000.00100010:32
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-100.00000—07:03
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)24213.8752.04-0.9657:17

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).