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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 7-3. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 9:10 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.0, NJD 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 32, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 3.6 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 G, 3 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 4 A), 3. Dawson Mercer (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2901419332
NJDNJD3819313730

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:22
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:37
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:15
  4. WSH
    P. Dubois(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:47
  5. NJD
    J. Hughes (42), J. Bratt (43)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:19

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:10

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (45), C. Brown (23)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:10
  2. WSH
    R. Sandin (24), P. Dubois (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    9:33
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(20)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-6
    12:16
  4. NJD
    D. Mercer(17)EN
    J. Bratt (46), J. Hughes (44)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    3-7
    17:54

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·NJD 18 PIM

1st

  • 9:21NJDBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

2nd

  • 5:06NJDTimo Meier · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 2:16WSHRyan Leonard · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 4:45NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 11:22WSHDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Lenni Hameenaho2 min
  • 20:00NJDCody Glass · Roughingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min
  • 20:00WSHHendrix Lapierre · Roughingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 20:00WSHHendrix Lapierre · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00NJDCody Glass · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 2nd 9:10 — NJD 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.54J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.18J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.17C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.16C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.15L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.15D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.13L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD7 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.03 G
All situations
6 G2.9
2.22 G
Even strength
5 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH60%40%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
32
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
18
Hits
12
17
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011-320.07010—24:55
43T. WilsonR112030.3310010020:06
72A. BeauvillierR000020.14010—19:10
80P. DuboisC112040.351005319:02
38R. SandinD011-220.02120—18:56
44C. HutsonD101+170.55010—18:48
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.00030—18:34
8A. OvechkinL000-240.42400—18:05
3M. RoyD000010.00130—17:45
17D. StromeC000-200.460005317:12
42M. FehérváryD000-300.01110—16:31
24C. McMichaelL000-110.052003315:23
34J. SourdifC000-200.000107115:22
9R. LeonardR011-140.27202—13:46
29H. LapierreC011-200.222112012:46
22B. DuhaimeL000010.04100—12:07
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000-210.03100—10:49
64D. KampfC000-100.001321309:39
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)29236.7932.38-3.6258:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).