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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV CHSN, TSN3·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 0:33. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:33 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 24, CHI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Spencer Knight stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    T. Bertuzzi2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG063150211424
CHICHI191211000321

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:42

2nd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:06
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:19
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:57
  4. CHI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:26

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-3
    9:46

Overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:33

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 9:32CHIEthan Del Mastro · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 4:20WPGCole Perfetti · Holdingdrawn by Ilya Mikheyev2 min
  • 5:17WPGCole Koepke · Trippingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalWPG goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 0:33 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Frondell · Goal · xG 0.21T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.16A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.15F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.11N. Lardis · On goal · xG 0.10F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.09F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Frondell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.08F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.07F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.07I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.06W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.03F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01E. Del Mastro · Missed · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Frondell · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCHI
2.24 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG60%40%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 1.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCHI
24
Shots on goal
21
67%
Faceoffs
33%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000000.03220—23:44
44J. MorrisseyD112+210.14000—23:42
54D. SambergD000+130.06020—23:06
4N. PionkD011000.01310—22:55
81K. ConnorL112-140.51000—21:07
55M. ScheifeleC033-110.160106920:32
13G. VilardiC000000.14020019:27
91C. PerfettiC101040.42012018:49
17A. LowryC000010.056208317:01
9A. IafalloL011-200.00300—16:18
19J. ToewsC000020.201005015:45
57E. SalomonssonD000-210.00200—14:44
45C. KoepkeL000030.15402—14:12
93B. LambertC000010.16000013:01
78J. BrysonD000-200.02110—10:47
25P. FordC000+110.0620010008:10
27I. RosenR101+110.10100—07:25
53D. ZhilkinC011+110.022005006:54
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)21183.8571.76-1.2460:33

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).