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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaroslav Chmelar's goal at 11:12 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were NJD 23, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 23 (.826); Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (22 saves, .957), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0511305123
NYRNYR2811312423

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    T. Kartye (12), W. Borgen (10)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:14
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.32win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:39

2nd period

  1. NJD
    C. Brown(16)PPG
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:51
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.37win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:12

3rd period

  1. NYR
    G. Perreault (15), A. Fox (38)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:49

Penalties

NJD 13 PIM·NYR 13 PIM

1st

  • 12:25NJDDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

2nd

  • 0:45NYRGabe Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 6:58NJDBrenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

3rd

  • 5:13NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
  • 6:56NYRJ.T. Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 9:05NJDPaul Cotter · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min
  • 9:05NJDJacob Markstrom · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 9:05NYRIgor Shesterkin · Goalie leave crease2 min
  • 9:05NJDJacob Markstrom · Fightingdrawn by Igor Shesterkin5 min
  • 9:05NYRIgor Shesterkin · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Markstrom5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jaroslav Chmelar, 2nd 11:12 — NYR 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Chmelar · Goal · xG 0.37J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.32M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.20V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.20W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.18T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.14J. Chmelar · Missed · xG 0.14C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.11G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.08G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.08N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.08T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.08G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.07G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.07G. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chmelar · On goal · xG 0.05N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chmelar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01D. Fortescue · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
3.21 G
All situations
4 G3.8
2.30 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD39%61%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
23
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
17
21
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011040.10000—25:05
17S. NemecD000000.05000—22:54
86J. HughesC000-140.320003321:58
16C. BrownR101-130.58010—21:06
13N. HischierC011-110.321105219:38
63J. BrattL000-120.17100—19:03
28T. MeierR000-110.14110—18:29
7D. HamiltonD000-200.01212—18:23
91D. MercerC000-110.11010017:51
5B. DillonD000-100.08702—17:37
8J. KovacevicD000-110.02110—17:34
71J. SiegenthalerD000-200.02020—16:01
12C. GlassC000-110.110008612:39
72N. BjugstadC000-110.182205011:08
29L. HameenahoR000-120.49000—10:05
42M. TsyplakovR000000.16100—09:01
33E. DadonovL000010.01000—08:09
47P. CotterL000010.293025008:05
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)23194.8263.76-0.2460:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).