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Stars at Penguins
NHL

Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸6
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV Victory+, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The Penguins scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lian Bichsel's goal at 11:38 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 26, PIT 12. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 1.1 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mavrik Bourque (2 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Bourque2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL094928626
PITPIT141513312

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(27)PPG
    E. Karlsson (46), R. Rakell (23)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:12

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Hryckowian(12)
    C. Blackwell (10), J. Benn (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:10
  2. PIT
    E. Karlsson(13)
    P. Wotherspoon (24)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:58
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(40)PPG
    M. Rantanen (50), M. Duchene (23)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:12
  4. DAL
    M. Rantanen(21)PPG
    J. Robertson (47), M. Heiskanen (51)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:12
  5. DAL
    L. Bichsel(4)
    M. Bourque (19), O. Bäck (6)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:38

3rd period

  1. PIT
    N. Acciari(10)
    E. Soderblom (3), E. Karlsson (47)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:54
  2. DAL
    M. Bourque(15)EN
    T. Myers (9)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:52
  3. DAL
    M. Bourque(16)EN
    J. Benn (19), E. Lindell (23)
    wristxG 0.49Video
    6-3
    18:50

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:54DALColin Blackwell · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 10:53PITAnthony Mantha · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:16PITserved by V. Koivunen · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:38PITRutger McGroarty · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

2nd

  • 5:45PITParker Wotherspoon · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 9:45PITElmer Soderblom · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 16:17DALNils Lundkvist · Trippingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min

3rd

  • 6:20DALJamie Benn · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 10:53DALserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDAL goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Lian Bichsel, 2nd 11:38 — DAL 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.14A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.14N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.12E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.11J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.07E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.06E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.06V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.05E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01
PIT3 G · 1.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPIT
3.64 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.22 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL55%45%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
12
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
19
24
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011020.06040—25:38
23E. LindellD011000.38030—22:20
21J. RobertsonL112+150.57010—21:03
55T. HarleyD000-100.00000—20:44
22M. BourqueC213+320.990103319:02
53W. JohnstonC000-100.201004019:01
96M. RantanenR112-130.330004018:57
95M. DucheneC011+120.430007517:33
57T. MyersD011+200.00330—16:17
49J. HryckowianC101+110.170105015:55
15C. BlackwellC011030.14222015:36
5N. LundkvistD000000.00032—14:47
6L. BichselD101+320.05110—14:12
10O. BäckC011+120.06020012:27
58M. BuntingL000-100.00020—12:23
25A. HyryR000+130.142008012:14
14J. BennL022+110.0320210012:08
11N. BastianR000000.00110—04:02
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)1293.7501.92-1.0859:23

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).