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Minnesota Wild at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, FDSNNO·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Minnesota Wild 6-3. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Peeke's goal at 1:01 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals were close — MIN 3.7, BOS 3.5; shots on goal were MIN 34, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Zacha (2 G), 2. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Pastrnak (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Zacha2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN01211329334
BOSBOS29112310631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:01
  2. BOS
    snapxG 0.17win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:00

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.03win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:27
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman (17), B. Faber (35)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:46

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.49win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:48
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:57
  3. MIN
    batxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:44
  4. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-5
    16:50
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.80Video
    3-6
    19:26

Penalties

MIN 11 PIM·BOS 13 PIM

1st

  • 6:22MINNick Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 6:22BOSTanner Jeannot · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 13:50BOSMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 13:50MINMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 17:04MINMats Zuccarello · Interferencedrawn by Fraser Minten2 min

2nd

  • 15:09BOSFraser Minten · Hookingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 6:09BOSNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 6:09BOSMarat Khusnutdinov · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 10:00MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalMIN goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Peeke, 1st 1:01 — BOS 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.80E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.49T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.20P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.17D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.15P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.12M. Khusnutdinov · Missed · xG 0.11H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.11H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.07M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.06L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Aspirot · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Goal · xG 0.02F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.00A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS6 G · 3.5 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsBOS
3.73 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.22 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 113 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN64%36%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsBOS
34
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
23
22
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD022-330.20040—31:03
7B. FaberD011-210.23120—26:34
12M. BoldyL000-150.55010—20:28
14J. Eriksson EkC000-100.053203819:58
97K. KaprizovL101-130.61000—19:58
36M. ZuccarelloR112-140.920025017:54
38R. HartmanR112-230.340005017:06
91V. TarasenkoR000-130.31000—16:50
25J. BrodinD000-210.01002—14:58
5J. MiddletonD000+110.00010—14:43
71N. FolignoL000-130.153024214:33
24Z. BogosianD000000.01210—14:30
17M. FolignoL000-120.08400—12:39
2J. PetryD000-110.05100—12:08
13Y. TreninC000020.11400011:46
90M. JohanssonL000-210.01000—11:05
10B. BrinkR000-210.05000—10:49
47M. McCarronC000-100.011054409:10
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)30255.8332.73-2.2757:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).