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Blue Jackets at Flyers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Flyers scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 4:38 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 74% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were CBJ 19, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Werenski (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jet Greaves (24 saves, .923), 3. Sean Couturier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    Z. Werenski1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0321115319
PHIPHI1100719226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:07

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:44
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:28

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:38
  2. PHI
    T. Zegras (34), C. Dvorak (28)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:56

Penalties

CBJ 9 PIM·PHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:23PHITrevor Zegras · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min
  • 13:28CBJKirill Marchenko · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Noah Cates0 min

2nd

  • 12:51CBJMathieu Olivier · Interferencedrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 17:24PHIMatvei Michkov · Embellishment2 min
  • 17:24CBJDante Fabbro · Cross checkingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 17:24CBJDante Fabbro · Fightingdrawn by Christian Dvorak5 min
  • 17:24PHIChristian Dvorak · Fightingdrawn by Dante Fabbro5 min

3rd

  • 13:02PHIOwen Tippett · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCBJ goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 3rd 4:38 — CBJ 74% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.23O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.22C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.15N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.14N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.13L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.09D. Barkey · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09D. Barkey · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.09T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Bump · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00C. York · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsPHI
1.83 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ37%63%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsPHI
19
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+120.02000—24:53
8Z. WerenskiD112+130.15000—24:27
78D. SeversonD022+110.07000—23:18
44E. GudbransonD000000.02050—19:58
3C. CoyleC000-100.102004418:04
4C. SillingerC000+100.12210017:13
24M. OlivierR101+150.22712—16:44
38B. JennerC000+110.333004516:31
23S. MonahanC000-100.000006315:55
19A. FantilliC011+100.003003115:16
17M. MarchmentL112+140.45310—15:03
21I. LundestromC000-100.0001010014:41
86K. MarchenkoR011+110.04100—14:38
15D. FabbroD000010.07117—13:28
83C. GarlandR000000.03000—12:41
43D. HeinenL000010.10100—12:18
5D. MateychukD000-100.00100—11:31
91K. JohnsonC000000.12100011:21
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(W)26242.9232.51+0.5160:00

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).