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Flyers at Ducks
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
Final/OTTV Victory+, NBCSP·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Noah Cates scoring at 2:17. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Cates's goal at 2:17 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were PHI 28, ANA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Cates (1 G), 2. Leo Carlsson (1 G), 3. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI114190411328
ANAANA0911511101236

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    L. Glendening(1)
    C. York (21), G. Hathaway (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:51

2nd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(23)
    T. Sanheim (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:53
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(35)PPG
    P. Mintyukov (11)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:22

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(24)
    T. Terry (35), C. Gauthier (26)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:06

Overtime

  1. PHI
    N. Cates(13)
    M. Michkov (18)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:17

Penalties

PHI 15 PIM·ANA 15 PIM

1st

  • 8:58ANATim Washe · Elbowingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 10:52ANAJohn Carlson · Trippingdrawn by Denver Barkey2 min
  • 15:03PHICam York · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 17:59ANAPavel Mintyukov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 17:59PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

2nd

  • 1:12PHIChristian Dvorak · Holdingdrawn by Ian Moore2 min
  • 4:06PHITravis Konecny · Holdingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:49ANACutter Gauthier · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 17:21ANAJeffrey Viel · Cross checkingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min
  • 18:06PHIMatvei Michkov · Holding the stickdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

3rd

  • 6:16ANAJansen Harkins · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 6:16PHINick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Jansen Harkins5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPHI goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Cates, OT 2:17 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.36C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.32L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.20L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.19C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.15C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.05P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.00I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.00J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsANA
4.83 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
1.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI70%30%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.30 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsANA
28
Shots on goal
36
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
15
19
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011+120.10230—24:30
8C. YorkD011000.00222—21:34
9J. DrysdaleD000+100.05030—21:22
11T. KonecnyR000020.1511210020:55
55R. RistolainenD000+100.06020—20:45
22C. DvorakC000-130.800226919:40
46T. ZegrasC000+110.271102518:27
24N. SeelerD000010.06035—17:27
27N. CatesL101020.310006316:25
74O. TippettR101050.63310—16:24
14S. CouturierC000+130.471005015:23
39M. MichkovR011+120.35004—14:17
41L. GlendeningC101+140.353006314:00
20A. BumpL000010.26010—13:20
19G. HathawayR011+110.38610—11:56
52D. BarkeyC000010.29000011:41
36E. AndraeD000000.01000—10:51
29N. GrebenkinR000+100.25000—08:47
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)36342.9443.06+1.0662:08

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).