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Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KONG·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Winterton's goal at 18:24 of the first period, which took the Kraken's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 25, SEA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.4 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kaapo Kakko (1 G, 2 A), 2. Bobby McMann (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Winterton (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    K. Kakko1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    B. McMann1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    R. Winterton1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1100718225
SEASEA3131527625

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:28
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:52
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:07
  4. SEA
    batxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:24

2nd period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn (30), B. Catton (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:20

3rd period

  1. SEA
    B. McMann(22)PPG
    wristxG 0.12Video
    1-5
    10:07
  2. SEA
    B. McMann (15), J. Eberle (26)
    wristxG 0.16Video
    1-6
    14:37
  3. FLA
    backhandxG 0.07Video
    2-6
    19:58

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·SEA 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:30SEARyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 7:23SEAChandler Stephenson · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:27SEAEeli Tolvanen · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 11:28FLALuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Ryker Evans2 min

3rd

  • 1:18FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 9:01FLAAnton Lundell · Interferencedrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 10:38FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min
  • 11:44SEABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalFLA goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Winterton, 1st 18:24 — SEA 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Catton · Goal · xG 0.23K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.17K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.16J. Oleksiak · Goal · xG 0.16K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.14R. Winterton · Goal · xG 0.14B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.12B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.12E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Meyers · Goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.10R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Meyers · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.07R. Winterton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.00E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA6 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsSEA
2.92 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.12 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsSEA
25
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
13
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+110.04112—22:46
42G. ForslingD011+110.03220—22:11
15A. LundellC000000.480025519:04
77N. MikkolaD000-210.06110—18:54
7D. KulikovD000-200.00230—18:32
11M. SamoskevichR011+110.1921010018:21
23C. VerhaegheC000040.55200018:07
19M. TkachukL000-130.28000—17:29
20M. BenningD000-110.03100—17:24
17E. RodriguesC000030.320025717:08
27E. LuostarinenC101040.380007516:00
6D. SebrangoD000-300.01200—15:32
10A. GreerL000-230.07200—14:38
92T. NosekL000-200.043004513:21
70J. BoqvistC011-200.0010010011:41
29C. ReinhardtL000-100.00300—11:34
71L. KuninC011-110.114126310:43
24V. HinostrozaC101-120.26000009:35
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)25196.7602.56-3.4459:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).