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Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FDSNW, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Hughes's goal at 17:31 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 61% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were LAK 31, NJD 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.4 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G, 2 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (2 G), 3. Jack Hughes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01131317431
NJDNJD21404410628

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:58
  2. NJD
    T. Meier (15), L. Hughes (26)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:04

2nd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.41win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:15
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:03
  3. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:43

3rd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:25
  2. NJD
    C. Brown (18), J. Bratt (37)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-4
    12:42
  3. LAK
    A. Kopitar(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-4
    13:42
  4. NJD
    J. Hughes(17)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +33 ptsVideo
    4-5
    17:31
  5. NJD
    T. Meier(18)EN
    snapxG 0.43win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-6
    19:52

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:29LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Lenni Hameenaho2 min

2nd

  • 3:32NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Malott2 min

3rd

  • 0:50NJDJesper Bratt · Trippingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 11:38LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 13:04NJDLenni Hameenaho · Holdingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 17:24LAKBrandt Clarke · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalLAK goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Hughes, 3rd 17:31 — NJD 61% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.43N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.31P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.30D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.26N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.21J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.17A. Gritsyuk · Goal · xG 0.15C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hameenaho · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD6 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNJD
3.34 G
All situations
5 G3.0
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.92 G
Power play
2 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK63%37%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-100.03512—23:15
44M. AndersonD000-210.01220—20:35
10A. PanarinL123-220.17100—20:20
92B. ClarkeD033-110.05022—20:19
11A. KopitarC202-251.210003319:37
6J. EdmundsonD011+110.04210—19:27
14A. LaferriereR000-130.25210—19:20
55Q. ByfieldR000-120.171124418:34
9A. KempeR011-220.14000—18:24
12T. MooreL000-230.29000—16:51
21S. LaughtonC000-100.011106016:23
5C. CeciD000010.05200—16:09
2B. DumoulinD000000.00010—15:10
53J. WrightR000020.23010—13:07
17M. JosephR000010.09300—11:42
79S. HeleniusC011+150.381108010:24
52T. WardR101+120.04200—09:44
39J. MalottL000+100.14010—09:42
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(L)27225.8152.59-2.4157:46

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).