New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabe Perreault's goal at 6:57 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 17, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 11 of 16 (.688), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabe Perreault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Braden Schneider (2 A).
Three stars
- ★G. Perreault1 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Connor1 G

- ★★★B. Schneider2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-01:08
2nd period
1-12:21
2-17:36
2-217:49
3rd period
3-21:15
3-34:19
4-36:57
5-311:08
6-319:09
Penalties
1st
- 0:59
Gabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
- 11:18
Vladislav Gavrikov · Interferencedrawn by Cole Koepke2 min
2nd
- 10:31
Elias Salomonsson · High stickingdrawn by Jaroslav Chmelar2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Gabe Perreault, 3rd 6:57 — 48% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.65 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 1.24 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 2.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 17
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 23
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 20
- Giveaways
- 18
- 6
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
6@
3this game
3@
2SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















