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New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MSG, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabe Perreault's goal at 6:57 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 17, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 11 of 16 (.688), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gabe Perreault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Braden Schneider (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    G. Perreault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    B. Schneider2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR131648617
WPGWPG0621119326

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(5)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:08

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:21
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:36
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:49

3rd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:15
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:19
  3. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +29 ptsVideo
    4-3
    6:57
  4. NYR
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    5-3
    11:08
  5. NYR
    N. Laba(8)EN
    wristxG 0.93Video
    6-3
    19:09

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:59WPGGabriel Vilardi · Hookingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 11:18NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Interferencedrawn by Cole Koepke2 min

2nd

  • 10:31WPGElias Salomonsson · High stickingdrawn by Jaroslav Chmelar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYR goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Gabe Perreault, 3rd 6:57 — NYR 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.35K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.19C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.15I. Rosen · Goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.14A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.12J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.12C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.10J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.06D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.05J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02E. Salomonsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.00J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00B. Lambert · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWPG
2.65 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.24 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR22%78%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWPG
17
Shots on goal
26
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
15
20
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. SchneiderD022+200.00320—22:25
29M. RobertsonD011+130.05110—21:22
23A. FoxD101010.41040—21:11
16V. TrocheckC022010.094303319:32
44V. GavrikovD000010.02002—19:32
94G. PerreaultR112+210.16000—19:09
93M. ZibanejadC011+200.000005018:23
13A. LafrenièreL112+210.19010—18:19
17W. BorgenD011+100.01010—18:15
50W. CuylleL000-210.16200—17:34
18U. VaakanainenD000010.01010—16:13
43C. ShearyL011+110.0700010015:08
24T. KartyeL112+120.20410—14:27
42N. LabaC101+110.934102914:24
84A. EdstromC101-120.05110013:45
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.1901010010:06
71J. ParssinenC000000.003006709:30
49J. ChmelarR000010.03210—08:45
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)26233.8852.91-0.0960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).