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Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSGSN, SNW·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New Jersey Devils 5-4. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Beecher's goal at 0:54 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 59% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Beecher (2 G), 2. Kevin Bahl (1 G), 3. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Beecher2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    K. Bahl1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    Y. Sharangovich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2821318529
NJDNJD11019213432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:04
  2. CGY
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:07
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:14

2nd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:54
  2. NJD
    S. Nemec(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:36
  3. CGY
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:48

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    4:10
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-3
    9:38
  3. NJD
    L. Hughes(6)PPG
    J. Bratt (36), J. Hughes (31)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    5-4
    19:56

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·NJD 0 PIM

1st

  • 17:37CGYJoel Hanley · High sticking double minordrawn by Jack Hughes4 min

3rd

  • 19:05CGYJoel Hanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCGY goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: John Beecher, 2nd 0:54 — CGY 59% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.43S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.22C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.10C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09L. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.05B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 3.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNJD
2.05 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Power play
2 G2.2
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY24%76%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/0
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
14
20
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7K. BahlD101+120.03220—27:33
3O. MaattaD011+120.04120—27:19
11M. BacklundC101+130.270006318:07
20B. ColemanL000+140.40320—17:20
37Y. KuznetsovD000+120.04320—17:09
44J. HanleyD000+120.04036—16:41
17Y. SharangovichC101+120.17100016:37
86J. FarabeeL011+200.00110—16:25
95V. OlofssonL011+200.00000—16:18
94B. PachalD011+210.00410—16:05
48H. BrzustewiczD000030.05110—15:23
18J. BeecherC202+140.230303815:15
22R. StromeC011+210.040004415:02
27M. CoronatoR000000.07000—13:07
47C. ZaryC000000.00000012:15
43A. KlapkaR011-110.17610—11:58
16M. FrostC000-100.000103311:41
92M. GridinR011020.46010—10:55
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)32284.8753.67-0.3360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).