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Capitals at Sabres
NHL

Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres

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Washington Capitals
▸2
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV MSG-B, MNMT2·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1. The Sabres scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 18:27 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 96%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.3, BUF 3.1; shots on goal were WSH 22, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (1 G), 2. Ryan Leonard (1 G), 3. Sam Carrick (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    R. Leonard1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    S. Carrick1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0316113222
BUFBUF11501005130

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    S. Carrick(6)
    B. Malenstyn (5), O. Power (17)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:02

2nd period

  1. WSH
    R. Leonard(14)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:14

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(23)
    A. Protas (24), T. van Riemsdyk (7)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:27

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:50WSHConnor McMichael · Hookingdrawn by Owen Power2 min

2nd

  • 12:50BUFTanner Pearson · Slashingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 16:41WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min

3rd

  • 6:08BUFLogan Stanley · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalWSH goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 3rd 18:27 — WSH 48% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.26J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.20J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.19R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.12J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.12J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.10J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.10J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.10S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.08J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.08P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.03R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ostlund · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsBUF
3.32 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH44%56%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsBUF
22
Shots on goal
30
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-110.01120—21:46
43T. WilsonR000040.65200—20:34
6J. ChychrunD101+210.14010—20:25
42M. FehérváryD000010.01112—19:56
38R. SandinD000-110.21100—19:47
80P. DuboisC000010.172104519:41
57T. van RiemsdykD011+130.46010—19:00
21A. ProtasL011+110.15000—16:31
27T. LiljegrenD000+110.04200—15:50
17D. StromeC000+110.000005015:25
34J. SourdifC000000.034104014:50
24C. McMichaelL000020.682123114:15
72A. BeauvillierR000010.200003314:07
8A. OvechkinL000-120.29120—14:03
9R. LeonardR101+210.07100—13:46
29H. LapierreC000010.13110013:17
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00350—12:17
53E. FrankR000000.00110—10:30
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(W)30291.9673.15+2.1560:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).