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Islanders at Blues
NHL

New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Mathew Barzal scoring at 2:11. The Islanders came back from three goals down. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 2:11 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 5.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 49, STL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Joel Hofer stopped 46 of 49 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Calum Ritchie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jimmy Snuggerud (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    C. Ritchie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI01711221713449
STLSTL15290801323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Broberg(4)
    J. Snuggerud (18), R. Thomas (26)
    tip-inxG 0.42win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:06

2nd period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(13)
    C. Fowler (21), J. Snuggerud (19)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:10
  2. STL
    J. Snuggerud(13)
    R. Thomas (27), T. Lindstein (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:37
  3. NYI
    J. Pageau(15)
    M. Schaefer (27), M. Barzal (41)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:50

3rd period

  1. NYI
    C. Ritchie(8)PPG
    Unassisted
    xG 0.30win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:52
  2. NYI
    B. Horvat(28)PPG
    C. Ritchie (11), M. Barzal (42)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:52

Overtime

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(18)
    B. Schenn (17), T. DeAngelo (26)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:11

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:16STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 19:33STLJimmy Snuggerud · High stickingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

2nd

  • 5:16NYIserved by Marc Gatcomb · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:20NYIAdam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

3rd

  • 5:03STLPavel Buchnevich · High sticking double minordrawn by Calum Ritchie4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, OT 2:11 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.42P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.25J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.17P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.16P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.11J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.11J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.10D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Finley · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.03L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSTL
5.04 G
All situations
3 G2.7
3.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
1.62 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI79%21%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.83 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSTL
49
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
2/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD011+160.36110—27:21
14B. HorvatC101-190.870005321:53
3A. PelechD000000.02102—21:44
13M. BarzalC123+140.22000021:21
77T. DeAngeloD011-120.01040—19:41
6R. PulockD000-100.00100—19:10
92S. HolmstromR000010.19100—18:41
44J. PageauC101+110.426003317:55
10B. SchennC011050.402007017:06
27A. LeeL000+150.531003316:28
51E. HeinemanL000-150.58500—16:22
4C. SoucyD000-130.27100—15:19
64C. RitchieC112-130.56010014:02
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00010—13:53
81O. PalatL000-120.25030—12:19
49M. ShabanovR000-120.15000—10:07
53C. CizikasC000-100.151105010:07
16M. GatcombC000-110.06510009:25
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)23203.8702.74-0.2661:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).