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Senators at Flames
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Calgary Flames
1
FinalTV SNW, TSN5·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Flames scored first; the Senators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Cozens's goal at 6:33 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 54% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 4.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were OTT 37, CGY 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 19 of 20 (.950); Devin Cooley stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Devin Cooley (33 saves, .943), 2. Tim Stützle (1 G), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Cooley33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT08111318437
CGYCGY180705120

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Pospisil(1)
    M. Gridin (4), Y. Sharangovich (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:04

2nd period

  1. OTT
    L. Eller(3)
    R. Greig (17), F. Zetterlund (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:35

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(22)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (26), D. Batherson (31)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:33
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(29)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.50win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:59
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(16)EN
    M. Amadio (15), A. Zub (16)
    wristxG 0.43Video
    4-1
    19:46

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:34OTTClaude Giroux · Hookingdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min

2nd

  • 10:51CGYZach Whitecloud · Cross checkingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 16:31OTTMichael Amadio · Slashingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 1:46CGYBlake Coleman · Holding the stickdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 5:52CGYAdam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 7:58CGYZayne Parekh · High stickingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 16:23OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Connor Zary2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalOTT goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Cozens, 3rd 6:33 — OTT 54% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.24J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pospisil · Goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.05A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 1.4 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCGY
4.22 G
All situations
1 G1.4
2.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT81%19%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.24 – 1.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCGY
37
Shots on goal
20
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
18
14
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000040.12010—24:14
85J. SandersonD000+140.31040—23:51
18T. StützleC101040.930005022:38
19D. BathersonR011020.24100—18:36
2A. ZubD011+110.01022—18:35
12S. PintoC101+140.842106717:50
71R. GreigC011+210.491102517:45
7B. TkachukL011030.100207117:29
22M. AmadioR011+230.23222—17:25
10J. SpenceD000030.20000—16:59
3N. JensenD000+110.00010—16:54
28C. GirouxR000010.121025016:38
24D. CozensC101020.301005016:30
43T. KlevenD000+100.00100—15:27
21N. CousinsC000000.00800012:25
89L. EllerC101+110.091006710:19
20F. ZetterlundL011030.27000—09:03
23K. MacDermidL000-100.00000—02:02
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)20191.9501.45+0.4559:20

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).