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Panthers at Blue Jackets
NHL

Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FDSNOH, SCRIPPS·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 10:50 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.5, CBJ 3.3; shots on goal were FLA 28, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathieu Olivier (2 G), 3. Jet Greaves (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    I. Provorov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    M. Olivier2 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Greaves26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0807213228
CBJCBJ1911029428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:08

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:50

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:41
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:08
  3. FLA
    S. Bennett(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:44
  4. CBJ
    wristxG 0.91win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:18

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:44FLAMackie Samoskevich · Holdingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
  • 13:53CBJDamon Severson · Holding the stickdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

2nd

  • 5:32FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
  • 16:10CBJJake Christiansen · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 5:44FLADonovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
  • 5:44FLAUvis Balinskis · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 5:44CBJErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min
  • 14:02CBJKirill Marchenko · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalFLA goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 10:50 — CBJ 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.91S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.29D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.16S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.14K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.12B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.11K. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.11D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Olivier · Goal · xG 0.08K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.07I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.05D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03K. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fantilli · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01
CBJ4 G · 3.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCBJ
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
16
6
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022000.00020—22:19
42G. ForslingD000020.14110—20:47
13S. ReinhartC011051.18000020:34
7D. KulikovD000-120.03200—20:05
77N. MikkolaD101+120.09100—19:24
15A. LundellC000-100.000006318:32
9S. BennettC101040.790004418:05
19M. TkachukL011-130.35000—17:50
26U. BalinskisD000-210.04522—17:35
17E. RodriguesC000020.071025015:57
23C. VerhaegheC000-220.14000015:12
27E. LuostarinenC000-200.151002214:42
6D. SebrangoD000-100.02112—14:04
11M. SamoskevichR000+120.13002—13:59
92T. NosekL000000.003006412:44
63B. MarchandL000-310.11000—12:39
70J. BoqvistC000020.1920010010:34
95S. VilmanisL000000.09200—10:34
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)27243.8892.41-0.5959:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).