Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathieu Olivier's goal at 10:50 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.5, CBJ 3.3; shots on goal were FLA 28, CBJ 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Jet Greaves stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathieu Olivier (2 G), 3. Jet Greaves (26 saves, .929).
Three stars
- ★I. Provorov1 G, 2 A

- ★★M. Olivier2 G

- ★★★J. Greaves26 saves, .929

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-15:08
2nd period
0-210:50
3rd period
0-31:41
1-39:08
2-314:44
2-418:18
Penalties
1st
- 3:44
Mackie Samoskevich · Holdingdrawn by Cole Sillinger2 min
- 13:53
Damon Severson · Holding the stickdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
2nd
- 5:32
Evan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Adam Fantilli2 min
- 16:10
Jake Christiansen · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
3rd
- 5:44
Donovan Sebrango · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min
- 5:44
Uvis Balinskis · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
- 5:44
Erik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min
- 14:02
Kirill Marchenko · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathieu Olivier, 2nd 10:50 — 71% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 1.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 2.41
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 19
- Hits
- 16
- 6
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 15
- Giveaways
- 13
- 3
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 2-1
6@
7OTFinal
2@
4this game
1@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















