Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Washington Capitals 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 12:22 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — WSH 4.0, MTL 4.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, MTL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 0.8 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Caufield2 G

- ★★N. Suzuki1 G, 2 A

- ★★★A. Ovechkin2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-10:30
1-113:16
1-214:19
2nd period
1-312:22
1-416:34
3rd period
2-412:12
2-516:44
2-618:35
Penalties
1st
- 6:06
Brandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
- 8:24
Mike Matheson · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
2nd
- 10:09
Ryan Leonard · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
- 17:17
Brendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Declan Chisholm2 min
3rd
- 6:00
Nic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
- 6:00
Kirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
- 7:51
Noah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 13:33
Connor McMichael · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
- 17:37
Alexandre Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mike Matheson, 2nd 12:22 — 72% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.02 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.0
- 3.02 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.0
- 1.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.93 – 3.17
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 20
- Hits
- 13
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 15
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
WSH leads 2-1
8@
4Final
2@
3OTFinal
2@
6this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















