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Capitals at Canadiens
NHL

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MNMT, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Washington Capitals 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 12:22 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — WSH 4.0, MTL 4.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, MTL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 0.8 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11009110229
MTLMTL272929625

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:30
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.31win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:16
  3. MTL
    backhandxG 0.45win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:19

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:22
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:34

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.23win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:12
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(19)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:44
  3. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47Video
    2-6
    18:35

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:06WSHBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 8:24MTLMike Matheson · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

2nd

  • 10:09WSHRyan Leonard · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 17:17MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Declan Chisholm2 min

3rd

  • 6:00WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 6:00MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 7:51MTLNoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 13:33WSHConnor McMichael · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 17:37MTLAlexandre Carrier · Holding the stickdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 2nd 12:22 — MTL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.47C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.45N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.38I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.23C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.22M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.17C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.16J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.16J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.13I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.12I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.08O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.03K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 4.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMTL
4.02 G
All situations
4 G4.0
3.02 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.00 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.93 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-520.28000—23:20
42M. FehérváryD000010.09430—21:28
3M. RoyD000-210.01030—20:58
43T. WilsonR000-310.51300—19:16
38R. SandinD000-200.00120—19:06
80P. DuboisC000-430.482007118:22
21A. ProtasL000030.21100—18:05
17D. StromeC011030.720103816:07
8A. OvechkinL202-260.78200—15:30
57T. van RiemsdykD000+210.02010—15:12
9R. LeonardR000-210.07102—15:09
24C. McMichaelL000-130.261024015:09
26N. DowdC000-110.002125414:48
47D. ChisholmD011+110.01100—13:00
34J. SourdifC000-100.151003812:43
72A. BeauvillierR022000.07010—12:42
53E. FrankR000-110.31110—11:30
22B. DuhaimeL000-110.01002—10:43
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)23194.8263.17-0.8358:52

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).