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Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV ESPN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Matvei Michkov scoring at 2:10. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matvei Michkov's goal at 2:10 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were PHI 24, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Matvei Michkov (2 G), 2. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 3. Sam Carrick (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    S. Carrick1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI051101811324
NYRNYR19150802224

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.00win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:56

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:23
  2. PHI
    M. Michkov(14)PPG
    N. Cates (17), O. Tippett (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:25

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:39

Overtime

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:10

Penalties

PHI 11 PIM·NYR 15 PIM

1st

  • 16:11PHIGarnet Hathaway · Boardingdrawn by Brennan Othmann2 min
  • 16:11NYRSam Carrick · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 16:11PHIGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Sam Carrick5 min

2nd

  • 3:29NYRBrennan Othmann · Cross checkingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 8:27NYRConor Sheary · High stickingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 11:53PHITrevor Zegras · High stickingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 13:17NYRVincent Trocheck · Interferencedrawn by Noah Cates2 min

3rd

  • 7:28NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 14:40NYRVladislav Gavrikov · High stickingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 19:51PHIMatvei Michkov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPHI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Matvei Michkov, OT 2:10 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.22B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.15B. Brisson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.11B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.07V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.03N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.00M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.00S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.00V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNYR
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI63%37%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNYR
24
Shots on goal
24
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/5
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
15
23
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011010.01000—23:39
8C. YorkD000010.10210—22:19
55R. RistolainenD000000.00110—21:46
9J. DrysdaleD000-130.27000—21:33
22C. DvorakC000+100.000003121:00
46T. ZegrasC101+110.25202020:17
11T. KonecnyR011+110.18010—20:12
14S. CouturierC011+100.023005018:45
10B. BrinkR000-110.48110—15:45
24N. SeelerD011+110.01120—15:35
27N. CatesL011-150.580102715:29
74O. TippettR011010.1121010015:24
39M. MichkovR202020.24002—14:02
52D. BarkeyC000000.00210013:54
29N. GrebenkinR000-110.00200—12:08
36E. AndraeD000000.00110—11:50
91C. GrundstromR000-150.42200—10:23
19G. HathawayR000-110.2141710009:09
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(W)24222.9172.13+0.1361:40

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).