Blue Jackets at Devils 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Columbus Blue Jackets

▸3

New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dante Fabbro's goal at 5:24 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 25, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Elvis Merzlikins (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Mathieu Olivier (2 G), 3. Dante Fabbro (1 G).

Three stars

★
E. Merzlikins24 saves, 1.000
★★
M. Olivier2 G
★★★
D. Fabbro1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	03	09	313	325
NJD	07	010	07	024

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

D. Fabbro(4)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.02win prob +28 ptsVideo
1-0
5:24
M. Olivier(7)
C. Sillinger (19), B. Jenner (19)
backhandxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
2-0
12:05
M. Olivier(8)
C. Coyle (25), Z. Werenski (42)
xG 0.90win prob +1 ptsVideo
3-0
16:00

Penalties

8 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

18:25Mason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

2nd

9:10Miles Wood · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
17:55Arseny Gritsyuk · Holdingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min

3rd

1:09Zach Werenski · Hookingdrawn by Lenni Hameenaho2 min
2:00Nico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
16:19Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
16:19Mason Marchment · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NJD

Biggest swing: Dante Fabbro, 3rd 5:24 — CBJ 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.9 xG · 37 att NJD

0 G · 2.2 xG · 38 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.93 G
All situations: 0 G2.2; 1.73 G
Even strength: 0 G1.1; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G1.2; 0.30 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

46%54%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

25
Shots on goal: 24; 54%
Faceoffs: 46%; 0/2
Power play: 0/3; 8
Penalty minutes: 6; 19
Hits: 18; 13
Blocked shots: 11; 11
Giveaways: 13; 7
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
78D. SeversonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	—	24:38
8Z. WerenskiD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.44	0	1	2	—	23:11
9I. ProvorovD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	22:21
5D. MateychukD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	0	0	0	—	17:57
19A. FantilliC	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	3	1	0	45	17:56
44E. GudbransonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	—	17:54
17M. MarchmentL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	4	—	16:43
3C. CoyleC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.28	3	0	0	71	16:35
23S. MonahanC	0	0	0	+2	3	0.07	0	2	0	43	15:54
38B. JennerC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	0	1	0	40	15:30
21I. LundestromC	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	100	15:02
15D. FabbroD	1	0	1	+1	3	0.04	0	2	0	—	14:17
4C. SillingerC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	2	1	0	0	14:14
24M. OlivierR	2	0	2	+2	1	1.08	3	0	0	—	14:09
43D. HeinenL	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	0	100	12:54
10D. VoronkovL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	3	1	0	100	11:10
91K. JohnsonC	0	0	0	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	0	10:58
11M. WoodL	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	3	1	2	—	10:42

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
90E. Merzlikins(W)	24	24	0	1.000	2.25	+2.25	59:55

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at New Jersey Devils

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score