Skip to content
Predators at Islanders
NHL

Nashville Predators at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Predators came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 18:46 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 5.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 42, NYI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Ilya Sorokin stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matthew Wood (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Wood1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH21112219442
NYINYI21011307330

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(14)
    A. Duclair (14), T. DeAngelo (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:29
  2. NYI
    M. Schaefer(15)
    R. Pulock (20), M. Barzal (32)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:57
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(21)PPG
    R. Josi (23), S. Stamkos (14)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    9:59
  4. NSH
    M. Wood(9)
    J. Marchessault (5), T. Jost (5)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:53

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(12)
    A. Lee (19), S. Holmstrom (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:21
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(22)
    M. Wood (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:11

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(10)
    A. Wilsby (9), E. Haula (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +43 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:46

Penalties

NSH 18 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:53NYIAdam Pelech · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 16:11NSHJonathan Marchessault · Hookingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 16:11NSHJonathan Marchessault · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 1:10NYIserved by Kyle MacLean · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:10NSHMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 8:10NYIScott Mayfield · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 12:19NSHAdam Wilsby · Trippingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 17:49NYIAdam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 17:49NSHCole Smith · Roughingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 3rd 18:46 — NSH 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.26O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.20O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.19K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.17A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.17K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.12M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.11M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.08M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.07O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.05E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNYI
5.24 G
All situations
3 G2.9
4.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH80%20%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.04 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNYI
42
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/2
18
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
23
6
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112+150.27210—29:15
76B. SkjeiD000040.15200—27:39
90R. O'ReillyC000010.040105019:05
83A. WilsbyD011030.37102—18:35
48N. PerbixD000-120.23000—17:49
77L. EvangelistaR000-220.35000—17:15
56E. HaulaL011030.600105817:14
9F. ForsbergL202+140.53100—16:58
47M. McCarronC000020.374021715:59
36C. SmithR000000.02512—15:24
58M. BuntingL000-150.84010—15:20
91S. StamkosC011+110.482005715:15
20J. BarronD000010.03000—12:43
8A. EnglundD000010.00300—12:31
81J. MarchessaultR011050.432012—12:17
89O. WiesblattC000010.07200011:08
17T. JostC011000.081002509:31
71M. WoodR112020.300105008:02
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)30273.9002.90-0.1060:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).