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Golden Knights at Senators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Cozens's goal at 5:51 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 20, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 4.2 goals below expected; Mads Sogaard stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mads Sogaard (19 saves, .950), 2. Stephen Halliday (2 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Cozens (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Sogaard19 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Halliday2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK050817120
OTTOTT16312314732

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:25

2nd period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig (16), B. Tkachuk (18)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:51
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:07
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:50

3rd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.08Video
    0-5
    1:22
  2. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.10Video
    0-6
    2:05
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot (16), S. Pinto (12)
    wristxG 0.01Video
    0-7
    3:56
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.15Video
    1-7
    15:05

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:36OTTTyler Kleven · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Mitch Marner0 min
  • 18:23OTTRidly Greig · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 19:46OTTserved by F. Zetterlund · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:19VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVGK goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Cozens, 2nd 5:51 — OTT 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10S. Halliday · Goal · xG 0.10C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.09S. Halliday · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Halliday · Goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Halliday · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 2.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsOTT
2.31 G
All situations
7 G2.8
1.51 G
Even strength
7 G2.5
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK39%61%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
34
16
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-210.04010—22:00
15N. HanifinD000-100.00030—21:17
5J. LauzonD000-210.03400—20:33
9J. EichelC000020.240004619:38
4R. AnderssonD101-120.31120—19:35
93M. MarnerR000010.241108017:59
16P. DorofeyevR000000.05002—17:41
48T. HertlC011-140.355105317:40
49I. BarbashevL000000.00220—17:36
61M. StoneR000020.0702010017:35
6K. KorczakD000-300.00000—15:37
17B. HuttonD000-330.14010—15:16
28T. LaczynskiC000-210.320106413:34
42B. BowmanR000-210.18000—13:10
19R. SmithR000-410.091004012:45
23C. ReinhardtL000-210.21210—12:23
55K. KolesarR000-400.00410—12:04
46J. RondbjergR000-300.01000—11:38
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)32257.7812.83-4.1759:59

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).