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New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, MSG·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavol Regenda's goal at 3:08 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYR 29, SJS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (2 G), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (28 saves, .966), 3. Will Smith (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Nedeljkovic28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    W. Smith2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11101107129
SJSSJS3170708332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Toffoli (20), W. Smith (18)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:09
  2. SJS
    M. Misa (5), C. Graf (14)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:08
  3. SJS
    W. Smith (19), C. Graf (15)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:37
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.44win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:50

Penalties

NYR 14 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:29NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 1:23NYRMatthew Robertson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:26SJSCollin Graf · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 14:36NYRTaylor Raddysh · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 18:24SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

2nd

  • 7:38NYRCarson Soucy · Roughingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min
  • 14:08NYRWill Borgen · Holdingdrawn by Pavol Regenda2 min

3rd

  • 8:33NYRGabe Perreault · Elbowingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 13:55NYRWill Borgen · Hookingdrawn by Michael Misa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYR goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Pavol Regenda, 1st 3:08 — SJS 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.46T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.34P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Ostapchuk · Missed · xG 0.18M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.17A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.14P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.10A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.09P. Regenda · Goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01P. Regenda · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSJS
3.21 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.90 G
Power play
2 G2.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR45%55%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD000030.05000—28:02
93M. ZibanejadC000-160.251025023:12
8J. MillerC000-120.181006722:49
4B. SchneiderD000000.00020—22:46
10A. PanarinL000-130.78100—21:10
16V. TrocheckC000020.250007920:19
29M. RobertsonD000010.01312—17:45
60S. MorrowD000+100.03110—16:11
17W. BorgenD000-120.03154—15:19
50W. CuylleL000020.33100—15:12
42N. LabaC000000.002003815:06
13A. LafrenièreL000010.18200—14:20
94G. PerreaultR000010.29212—13:40
24C. SoucyD000000.00102—12:50
39S. CarrickC101+110.44000009:07
78B. OthmannL000020.12200—09:01
14T. RaddyshR011+100.08012—08:24
25A. BlidhL011+130.16000—06:14
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(L)32293.9063.51+0.5156:08

Season series

SJS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).